VP Kamala Harris surges ahead of Trump post DNC Chicago - Now she is ahead by 48% to Trujmps 43% - There could be more tectonic shifts towards Harris closer to the elections as there are votrs who want to keep Trump out.
By TN Ashok
US VP Kamala Harris has succeeded in achieving for the democratic party which incumbent president Joe Biden could not for most part of this year during his campaing – lets not complain age was aginst him, his faltering steps , stumbling and mumbling gave the imnpression of his being not in control of his mental faculties even if he was.
Voter support for Harris vs Trump
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
Change of guard , only Biden , a gentleman could have agreed to that under pressure from fellow partymen, he put partys interests over his own personal interests even if he had a ghost of. A chance to win aginst Trump, which pollsters said he could do a repeate of 2020 until he flatered in the debate , partyly for taking on too much at his age, 81, foreign travels, not wink of sleep and plunged headlong into a debate where one spoke over the other who was tired and exhausted.
Trumps ability to tell a lie ( fact check has often proved him wrong) and speak loudly over others to make his point won the day for him at Atlanta doing what Biden never could this year: Lead Trump.Trump.
Biden realized the odds were stacked against him when his inner circle of friends such as Chuck Schumer, Senat Majority leader, Hakim Jefferies , House Minority leader, and even Nancy Pelosi , old time peer, and speaker of four decades, influenced him. He made the right moral ethical choice of rewaring a loyalist Kamala Harris . She had won his trust and proved him right by surging ahead of Donald Trump, 48%-43%, in a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll.
The findings reflect an eight-point turnaround in the presidential race since late June when the chips were down for the democrats with Biden.
The vice president's small lead was fueled by big shifts among some key demographic groups traditionally crucial for Democrats, including Hispanic and Black voters and young people. Among those with annual incomes of less than $20,000, in the biggest change, a three-point Trump edge over Biden in June has become a 23-point Harris advantage over Trump in August, USA Today which conducted the poll with the Suffolk University said.
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She has succeeded in doing what Biden never could this year: lead Trump. Her advantage is within the survey's margin of error, and the poll was taken after the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, which rallied party spirits.
With 11 weeks to go for Nov ember 05, electin day, the sprint has begun for the Whit House has begun in right earnest.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters, taken by landline and cellphone Sunday through Wednesday, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. With the election approaching, the survey is now measuring likely voters; previous polls were of registered voters.
Without the customary rounding of results, her edge would be closer to four points than five, 47.6%-43.3%. The findings underscore the success of the targeted appeals at the Democratic convention last week.
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"With the 'Brat Summer' of Kamala Harris emojis winding down, young people, persons of color, and low-income households have swung dramatically toward the vice president," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. "These same demographics were emphasized and woven together by numerous speakers at the convention."
Among the biggest shifts since June, all outside the poll's margin of error: Voters 18 to 34 years old moved from supporting Trump by 11 points to supporting Harris by 13 points, 49%-36%.
Hispanics, a group the Republican campaign has been cultivating, moved from supporting Trump by two points to supporting Harris by 16 points, 53%-37%. Black voters, traditionally one of the most overwhelmingly Democratic groups, moved from supporting Biden by 47 points to supporting Harris by 64 points, 76%-12%.
Lower-income voters now support Harris 58%-35%. She has emphasized her commitment to creating an "opportunity economy" that makes housing more affordable and tackles price-gouging on food, although she hasn't released detailed policy plans.
'I'm very excited to vote for a woman' .
Voters of all stripes say the election has been transformed. Harris is the first woman of color and the first person of South Asian descent to be nominated for president by a major party. At 59, she is a generation younger than Trump, the former president, who is 78, and Biden, who is 81.
"I think people are cautiously optimistic that they're going to have a lot better chance with Harris than they would have had with Biden going head-to-head with Trump," said Amy Hendrix, 46, of Fort Worth, Texas, a traditional Red State of Ted Cruz. An independent who usually votes Democratic, she was among those called in the poll. "I'm very excited to vote for a woman, and that's just the truth."
But Jason Streem, also 46, a dentist from the Cleveland suburbs (Ohio – Swing state) who supports Trump, objected to the way Harris became the nominee. "She was never part of the running process," he said in a follow-up interview. "She never received the primary votes." He called it "the most undemocratic way of picking a nominee."
When Biden stepped back from the presidential race , this is what he said :
“While it has been my intention to seek reelection, I believe it is in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down and to focus solely on fulfilling my duties as President for the remainder of my term,” Biden wrote in a letter posted on X. “I will speak to the Nation later this week in more detail about my decision.”
Biden thanked Harris for “being an extraordinary partner” in his letter and then endorsed her in a subsequent post.
“My very first decision as the party nominee in 2020 was to pick Kamala Harris as my Vice President,” Biden posted.
Biden stepped back from his reelection race a little more than a month ago, under pressure by party leaders and donors who feared he could not win. That opened the door for an unprecedented quick switch to Harris for the nomination.
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/21/politics/inside-bidens-exit-from-2024-race/index.html
In the USA TODAY/Suffolk poll, Biden's vote share this year never topped 37.5%, and he trailed Trump from as little as half a percentage point last spring − basically, a tie − to nearly four points immediately after the Biden-Trump debate in early summer.
This was the first survey since independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump. Independent Cornel West is now at 2%. Green Party nominee Jill Stein and Libertarian Chase Oliver are at 1% each.
When voters supporting third-party candidates were asked for their second choice, 32% said Harris, 24% West and 15% Trump.
After Harris entered the race , Robert Kennedy Jr saw his polling figures drop by a massive 14%.
Source : USA Today
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